Quite an interesting week we had in the world of Armchair Football, and Armchair Baseball for that matter (For all of those who may have forgotten). The "resident comedians" Mike and myself are all set to duke it out in the two week championship as a battle of the 5th and 6th seeds, respectively. Mike was a Cinderella in his own right seeing as how Yung Joseph had not lost a weekly matchup since Week 10. That was June 8-14! At that time:
- I had not yet started my pilgrimage to Santiago
- I had recently developed ASS 2.0
- The Twins were 3.0 GB the Tigers, but their record was 32-33
- The NBA Finals had just finished
Moving on to Football. We had quite an equalizing week. No team is 2-0 after Week 2. That's a lot of parity if you ask me. As for my "poor" ratings, which were to be taken "with a grain of salt" since there was "not a lot to conclude here" after only Week 1, (Clearly some don't like to read my fine print.) they're not magical numbers that are going to dictate the entire season. I just wanted to expand on our basic league standings that we see on our Yahoo! league homepage. What are some factors that would make a team not play up to their potential? Well ONE is how we are scheduled. Maybe looking at a team's W-L-T record doesn't tell the whole story. So how do we fix that? Let's play out a season where everyone plays everyone and find out their W%. So that's basically all I'm doing. I'm getting rid of the scheduling problem. Yes, players get lucky and play better certain weeks. Yes, a team can fluctuate a ton week to week. I can only do so much. I can't give accurate projections right now about how the season will play out based on every externality. (Perhaps that's what Da Commish's rankings claim to do?) All I show is what has happened in the past and taken out a bit of good or bad luck to get us closer to where a team should be.
[Disclaimer: Before this next part is read, Dave, just know that the gauntlet was thrown by yourself. I even followed this criteria impeccably and saw no other feasible option that do what I have done in the remainder of this blog post.]
Da Commish, on the other hand, gives us his opinion on where teams should be. He's hardly in a position to criticize a numbers-based rating system. Since you can a) read what the author has said about his ratings and b) look at the numbers to understand what he is trying to accomplish. Da Commish also states:
[Disclaimer: Before this next part is read, Dave, just know that the gauntlet was thrown by yourself. I even followed this criteria impeccably and saw no other feasible option that do what I have done in the remainder of this blog post.]
Da Commish, on the other hand, gives us his opinion on where teams should be. He's hardly in a position to criticize a numbers-based rating system. Since you can a) read what the author has said about his ratings and b) look at the numbers to understand what he is trying to accomplish. Da Commish also states:
If all we did were take the scores from last week and see what our record would be against the entire league, we are completely ignoring the fact that scores and points from players can change so dramatically from week to week.An understandable statement. But it's funny how we shouldn't base our thoughts of other teams after only one week when someone bases their rankings almost entirely on how many points a team scored the previous week. Observe:
Oly's Rankings
1. Duke Football - 68 points
2. Greek gods - 61 points
3. The Moops - 60 points
4. Primus Inter Pares - 61 points
5. Boston TD Party - 61 points
6. Deep Throw It - 50 points
7. Team Chris Brown - 49 points
8. Bulldogs - 39 points
9. Super Consistency - 38 points
10. Team Rihanna - 25 points
If we remove the Moops from the list, these rankings would be in descending order of points that teams scored after only one week. It appears that our points won't be "dramatically" changing from week to week in the future if this is how Da Commish sees each team's abilities this year. If that were also true, than my ratings would be perfect because they're already based on those points from last week just like his!
I also enjoyed the Transaction of the Week, seeing as how I was a part of it for the first time. I'll agree it was a gamble on my part. And hey, who's not going to be sorry he let go of a 30 point performance? But let's take a look at what happened in Week 2 from this trade:
Deep Throw It:
Drew Brees - 17 points
Ray Rice - 3 points
Brandon Marshall - 1 point
TOTAL - 21 points
Primus Inter Pares:
LaDainian Tomlinson - 0 points (Injured, did not play)
Dwayne Bowe - 8 points
Vincent Jackson - 13 points
TOTAL - 21 points.
Yes, it was a tie. And yes, LT was hurt, which was a gamble I had to deal with when making that trade. But the trade was an even tie in points gained in Week 2, despite me not having my prize RB from the trade playing at all. Things are looking up for me when LT is healthy.
So finally, with all of that said, here are the ratings after Week 2:
Joe's all-around fantasy dominance seems to still be intact. Ironically, by my metrics, the most underrated team is Primus Inter Pares. (I'll probably get an eye-full about that [not an earful, since this is a blog]) The most overrated team to date is The Moops, who are even less overrated than I am underrated, so there are virtually no problems there. We certainly have a lot of ties which can shake/screw our league standings up by not giving team full credit where it's due. Maybe if there were only a way to reduce all of these ties and award full appropriate points where they are deserved? (I particularly like the 0:44 mark and on)
David L. Rogers also seems to agree. (It's #1 on the list for pete's sake!)
I am without media for this week. It appears to me that Da Commish has stumbled upon the same website I have been using to show you all funny media. I'll contribute what I can in the meantime, but he can include the stuff that everyone's talking about. I can't seem to catch a break from this guy ....
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