Welcome all. We're back to give you what you crave, the Week In Review. We saw some shakeup this past week, as teams are starting to settle into their places. Let's take a look at the current standings:
Division | WeekCatW% | ActW% | PredW% | DeltaW | MatchupW% |
DS | Joe's Torn Ligament | 0.625 | 0.690 | -2.3 | 0.931 |
TK | Make It Rain (TFP) | 0.611 | 0.599 | 0.4 | 0.761 |
TK | Sexual Napalm | 0.597 | 0.583 | 0.5 | 0.733 |
DS | Maewyn Succat | 0.417 | 0.494 | -2.8 | 0.481 |
DS | La Furia Roja | 0.514 | 0.481 | 1.2 | 0.441 |
TK | Dmitri Petrovich | 0.361 | 0.457 | -3.4 | 0.381 |
TK | Winston Wolfe | 0.611 | 0.454 | 5.7 | 0.372 |
TK | The Master Baker | 0.389 | 0.434 | -1.6 | 0.306 |
DS | Enter Sandman | 0.486 | 0.418 | 2.4 | 0.275 |
DS | Drunk Hot Girl Scout | 0.389 | 0.390 | -0.1 | 0.196 |
DeltaW=Number of difference in Actual Wins vs Predicted Wins. Positive numbers means overrated.
MatchupW%=ComboW% from last week. The percent chance the given team beats a team (wins 7 categories or more) that has a 50% chance of winning every category.
Joe still maintains his top spot in our standings, albeit with authority. Joe had the best hitting week anyone will probably ever see, ever. Joe came in first place in every offensive category this past week. Impressive, indeed. Observe:
Raw | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OPS | BG |
Make It Rain (TFP) | 35 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 0.296 | 0.887 | 53 |
Enter Sandman | 30 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 0.282 | 0.741 | 56 |
Sexual Napalm | 35 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 0.271 | 0.767 | 59 |
Maewyn Succat | 24 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 0.277 | 0.801 | 51 |
La Furia Roja | 29 | 6 | 23 | 6 | 0.289 | 0.821 | 52 |
The Master Baker | 22 | 5 | 33 | 5 | 0.23 | 0.669 | 55 |
Drunk Hot Girl Scout | 22 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0.197 | 0.538 | 54 |
Winston Wolfe | 30 | 6 | 37 | 6 | 0.308 | 0.916 | 49 |
Dmitri Petrovich | 34 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 0.271 | 0.796 | 52 |
Joe's Torn Ligament | 39 | 10 | 42 | 11 | 0.326 | 0.943 | 61 |
Quite a feat. But you may be asking yourself what that far right category is. Any guesses? It is exactly the number of games started for all the batters of each team. So if you have a player in your starting 9 for a night, and he does not start his MLB game, then that is not counted. If a player pinch hits later in the night, it is not counted. It's a crude way of seeing how many total ABs your team got for a week. Joe, as we can see, had almost every spot on his roster filled for every day last week. Basic math says that there are (9 roster spots * 7 days)=63 maximum possible starting games for batters on your team each week (Not including doubleheaders since it usually means usually the day before was a rain out). Joe almost had the maximum possible games, falling 2 short. So if he has the best counting stats, and the most games played, how do the averages compare? Let's look:
Per Game | R/BG | HR/BG | RBI/BG | SB/BG |
Make It Rain (TFP) | 0.66 | 0.17 | 0.74 | 0.17 |
Enter Sandman | 0.54 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 0.05 |
Sexual Napalm | 0.59 | 0.12 | 0.54 | 0.08 |
Maewyn Succat | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.14 |
La Furia Roja | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.44 | 0.12 |
The Master Baker | 0.40 | 0.09 | 0.60 | 0.09 |
Drunk Hot Girl Scout | 0.41 | 0.04 | 0.30 | 0.02 |
Winston Wolfe | 0.61 | 0.12 | 0.76 | 0.12 |
Dmitri Petrovich | 0.65 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 0.04 |
Joe's Torn Ligament | 0.64 | 0.16 | 0.69 | 0.18 |
As we can see, on a per game basis, Joe put up great numbers. However, he only ranks first in stolen bases if we look at how many games his batters started. Make It Rain (TFP) had almost an equally impressive week on a per game basis. I hope this shows how important it is to make sure you have the right players starting on a given night.
[Note: It's important to understand that if I were to only start my best player and bench everyone else, I would also get very high numbers on a per game basis. The goal of this fantasy game is to get the highest totals, unless the categories are AVG,ERA, etc.]
As for League Strength, the Tom Kocon Division has taken a slight lead. Let's look at their average stats:
LeagueASS 3.0 | ActW% | PredW% | MatchupW% | Batter | Pitcher |
Tom Kocon | 0.514 | 0.505 | 0.510 | 0.500 | 0.510 |
Dan Stuart | 0.486 | 0.495 | 0.490 | 0.500 | 0.490 |
As we can see, it all comes down to the pitching categories where they have the advantage. It'll be interesting to watch this race unfold throughout the year.
Well, with a scary midterm tomorrow and finals week next week, this weeks' WIR must stop here. Soon and very soon I will start throwing out some predictions for the upcoming weeks. I also hope to give "playoff odds"; but that may have to wait until midsummer.
Special shout out to Make It Rain (TFP) for going 11-0-1 against Luke. If only he could have won that Losses category, eh? With that tie on there I feel this is more equivalent to a no hitter than a perfect game. But good work nonetheless.
MEDIA!
Mr. Cafferty wrote to me this past week saying I should have included the FAU vs WKU rain delay in my last week's post. However this information was not received until after my work went to the press. If you haven't seen it yet, you can catch it here.
But this week I'll feature one of my favourite segments, Unnecessary Censorship:
And lastly, in honor of the draft, we have this disturbing gem:
Good night everyone. And hey, how about them Twins?
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