One week until playoffs. We've got a vague idea about where people will fall. But what are they odds that you're team makes the playoffs? I've got the answers here.
Here is the projected bracket:
1) Joe's Torn Ligament
8) Bye
4) Maewynn Succat
5) Winston Wolfe
3) Abusement Park
6) La Furia Roja
2) Make It Rain (TPF)
7) Bye
And as for the cellar dwellar of this year. Sexaul Napalm holds a close edge over Mom Didn't Like Name, 50% to 45%.
So even though I lost my previous program to run this, this simulation shouldn't be far off. I used everyone's W% in each category as their "true" talent level at each category. Translation: This simulation is going to assume that how well you've done in the past in every category is a good indicator of how you will do in the future. So I input our current standings, and simulated the remaining 3 weeks. There's a bunch more to it, but I figure you guys just want to know your odds of making the playoffs. I ran 50,000 mock seasons and below shows how many times out of those 50,000 seasons you made the playoffs and what your W% is and so forth. Here you go. (Blank spaces mean 0% chance. If a space says 0%, then it's below .5%)
Another side note. I did not include playoff tiebreakers. So if 2 people tied for 6th place, with 5 teams already in, this program assumes you both are in the playoffs. I'm just too lazy to do more. So how about we rename this as a program that gives "Odds of Playoff Consideration ... Before Tiebreakers".
